As we closed out the second quarter, a slow-moving but consequential shift is underway in financial markets. While President Trump’s tariff policies and expanding fiscal deficits draw headlines, the deeper story is unfolding in the bond market—where long-dormant “bond...
The United States has moved forward with the decision to implement tariffs globally—a bold policy that has sparked debates, challenges, and uncertainty across industries and markets. While the initial focus was largely on trade tensions with China, the expansion of...
Global economic growth is expected to have increased during Q3 2024, driven by the continued recovery in advanced economies and strong performance in emerging markets, though short-term prospects continue to be undermined by still-high interest rates, a potential...
Artificial intelligence continued to propel stocks higher, bringing the S&P 500 TR Index up 15.3% YTD. Chip maker Nvidia even briefly became the world’s highest-valued listed company in June. While during the first half of Q2, markets continued to price out an...
The year 2024 appears to continue where 2023 left off, with economic surprises and evolving market dynamics. The economy demonstrated resilience during the first quarter of the year, continuing to avoid a recession and performing better than anticipated. Investors...
2023 saw the turnarounds of both stocks and bonds. By the end of the year, the 60/40 portfolio had almost recovered from one of its deepest drawdowns. In contrast, the year proved to be a difficult year for CTAs. In hindsight,...
Q3 proved to be a difficult quarter for traditional assets, both equities and bonds, with the 60/40 portfolio being down about 3%. At current market prices, the bond market looks on track to finish the year negative for the third year in a row, something that hasn't...
The first half of 2023 delivered plenty of positive surprises for investors. For starters, while Wall Street analysts were predicting a down year for stocks for the first time in decades, the equity market had one its strongest first halves on record with the S&P...
The first quarter of 2023, characterized by bank failures not seen since 2008 and a collapse in bond yields not seen since 1987, brought forth the specter of crisis past, leaving the US Federal Reserve in a quandary as to the path of its monetary policy. Just 2 days...
It is likely that few investors will be sad 2022 is over. It was a dismal year for most with very few places to hide: global equities finished the year down over 18% while global fixed income was off over 16%, the sector’s poorest showing in decades. It certainly was...
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